Geopolitical··Severity 9
US, Iran engaged in tanker war: Where is the months-long conflict headed?
The US and Iran attack tankers in Strait of Hormuz, as the two sides try to exert control over the strategic waterway.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
72%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
Checking access status…