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Military··Severity 9

Iranian forces target US naval drone attempting to enter Strait of Hormuz

It comes after the US military announced that it had struck three Iranian oil tankers in response to what it said were ballistic missile strikes launched by the IRGC against two navy warships.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

80%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Euronews

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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