Economic··Severity 7
How climate change and food insecurity could fuel future conflicts
Climate change, conflict, and trade tensions are putting pressure on the global food system. New research suggests the biggest risk is not food shortages, but whether societies can peacefully adapt to change.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
35%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: DW World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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