Geopolitical··Severity 9
Iran war live: IRGC claims new attacks on US warships over naval blockade
IRGC says it fired ballistic missiles at a US aircraft carrier and a destroyer as standoff intensifies in Hormuz Strait.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
77%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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