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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Iran to impose restricted shipping zone near Strait of Hormuz

Iran to impose restricted shipping zone near Strait of Hormuz Iran plans to establish a restricted maritime zone near the Strait of Hormuz within days, state media has quoted the country’s top security official as saying. The designated area will stretch from the boundary of the US naval blockade into parts of the Gulf. Tehran will place any vessel that enters the zone on its sanctions list, the official said. Iran and Oman also expect to sign new maps regulating maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz in the coming days, according to Iranian state television.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

61%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Middle East Eye

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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