Social··Severity 7
Germany: Why is the AfD so popular in Saxony-Anhalt?
Voting began in the eastern German state of Saxony-Anhalt on Sunday in a closely watched election that could see the Alternative for Germany (AfD) become the first far-right party to lead a state government since World War II. We discuss this with our guest, Hans Stark, professor of German studies at Sorbonne University.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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