Natural··Severity 7
Semeru volcano erupts in Indonesia, ash rising to height of 4.7 km
Semeru is the fourth highest volcano in Indonesia (3,676 m above sea level) and the highest peak on the island of Java
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
32%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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