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Geopolitical··Severity 9

Lebanon warns of ‘dangerous escalation’ after new Israeli strikes

Finance ministry building damaged and empty hospital destroyed in bombing campaign

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

79%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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