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Military··Severity 9

Death toll from Israeli attacks on Lebanon climbs to 4,362 despite ceasefire

Death toll from Israeli attacks on Lebanon climbs to 4,362 despite ceasefire Lebanon’s Health Ministry says Israel has killed 4,362 people and wounded 12,378 in attacks across the country since 2 March. Israel has continued bombing Lebanon and occupying parts of its territory despite a ceasefire that took effect on 17 April and was renewed on 26 June. Before the truce, Israeli troops seized nearly 2,000sq km (770sq miles), equivalent to about one-fifth of Lebanon. A buffer zone still covers approximately six percent of the country.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

80%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Middle East Eye

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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