← Scenarios catalogue
Military··Severity 8

How significant are the Yemeni government’s military gains against Houthis?

Government forces make gains as fighting escalates, raising fears of a return to full-scale war.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

72%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

Checking access status…