Geopolitical··Severity 9
Iran war live: Tehran to announce new Hormuz shipping route in coming days
Move comes as Iran's top negotiator warns of heavier responses to new attacks after US strikes on Iranian oil tankers.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
76%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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