Geopolitical··Severity 8
Oil closes in on $100 as renewed supply crunch looms
Traders warn that ‘something has to break’ amid attacks on shipping and eroding inventories
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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