Geopolitical··Severity 8
IAEA loses access to Iranian nuclear sites due to US, Israel — MFA
According to Esmaeil Baghaei, attempts by European countries to repeatedly submit the Iranian nuclear dossier for consideration to the UN Security Council contradict their own statements from last fall about reinstating UNSC sanctions
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
63%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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