Geopolitical··Severity 8
Kyiv air raid alerts at record high as Russia launches round-the-clock strikes
Schools, businesses and public transport are all struggling with the surge in Russian air attacks.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
Checking access status…