Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia attacks Ukraine with 92 drones: air defence downs over 70 UAVs, strikes recorded
Russia launched 92 attack drones against Ukraine overnight, including Shahed and Gerbera UAVs. Air defence neutralised 71 targets, while strikes were recorded at 12 locations.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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