Geopolitical··Severity 8
'What we see right now is that Putin has zero interest in ending the war', Ukrainian MP Yasko says
US envoy Steve Witkoff on Monday touted progress in weekend discussions with Ukraine and Russia, raising the prospect of reviving three-way peace talks to end Europe's deadliest conflict since World War II. Ukrainian MP Lisa Yasko says that "we don't trust these talks", describing the US envoys' flattery towards Russian President Vladimir Putin as "disgraceful".
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
57%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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