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Military··Severity 8

Iraq faces sovereignty test as US-led military coalition exit nears

Analysts warn Iraq faces severe security and political tests as the US-led coalition withdrawal deadline approaches.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

66%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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