Military··Severity 8
Iraq faces sovereignty test as US-led military coalition exit nears
Analysts warn Iraq faces severe security and political tests as the US-led coalition withdrawal deadline approaches.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
66%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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