Geopolitical··Severity 8
Thousands of mourners gather in Belgrade for war criminal Mladic's funeral
Thousands of mourners on Monday gathered at a church in Belgrade to view the body of Ratko Mladic, who died in The Hague, Netherlands, on August 27 while serving a life sentence for genocide, war crimes and crimes against humanity. The European Union has heavily criticised the event, and Marta Kos, the bloc's enlargement commissioner, cancelled an upcoming visit to Serbia in protest.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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