Geopolitical··Severity 8
Death toll from Israeli attacks on Lebanon exceeds 4,380 - health ministry
According to the country’s ministry, Israeli warplanes are still seen in Lebanon’s airspace
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
61%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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