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Economic··Severity 7

US-Canada tariff dispute weighs on cross-border ties

As Canada's retaliatory tariffs take effect, Canadian and US car industries fear the trade war will hit them hard, while Canadians are cutting back on travel.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

46%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: DW World

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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