Geopolitical··Severity 9
Russia launches missile strikes against Kyiv as pause in raids ends
Overnight attacks come after Ukraine visit by Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner fails to deliver breakthrough
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
77%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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