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Geopolitical··Severity 9

Ukraine’s strikes lead to further escalation, tough Russian response — Foreign Ministry

Accusations that Russia is working toward escalation are categorically untrue, Rodion Miroshnik added

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

77%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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