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Economic··Severity 7

The new fiscal threats to monetary policy

High public deficits and debt undermine central banks’ ability to control inflation

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

38%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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