Natural··Severity 7
Wildfire smoke causes nearly 100,000 excess deaths a year — UN
The bulletin’s authors note that "extreme fire-smoke events have tripled globally since the 1990s"
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
32%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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