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Economic··Severity 7

Explainer-Why isn't oil above $100 despite supply disruptions?

Global oil prices remain under the $100 per barrel mark, despite substantial volumes continuing to move through the Strait of Hormuz. Gulf producers are adapting by employing alternative shipping routes to counter any export deficiencies. Additionally, other oil-producing nations are boosting their output to compensate for supply shortages. The drop in demand from major markets is also putting pressure on global oil pricing.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

42%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Economic Times

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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