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Geopolitical··Severity 8

UK publishes legislation for expanded sanctions on Iran

UK publishes legislation for expanded sanctions on Iran The UK government ‌on Tuesday published legislation to expand sanctions on Iran, including tougher trade restrictions ​and powers to target ships. Stephen Doughty, a foreign office minister, said in a statement cited by Reuters that the ​legislation "doubles down ​on ⁠our action to constrain Iran's nuclear ambitions" and would ​help ensure that Iran never acquires a nuclear weapon. The statement also said the sanctions would restrict Iran's access to the British financial system and ban Iranian aircraft ‌from ⁠landing in the UK unless exemptions apply.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

64%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Middle East Eye

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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