Geopolitical··Severity 9
US destroys five Iranian tankers as Tehran takes aim at Jordan
US CENTCOM said crews were warned to abandon ship before its strikes after the IRGC fired missiles at a US Navy warship twice in two days.
Tehran launched missile strikes on US targets in Jordan and warned tankers near Kuwait and Bahrain to evacuate.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
75%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Euronews
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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