← Scenarios catalogue
Geopolitical··Severity 8

Thiel-backed start-up to mass-produce ‘deep strike’ missiles in Europe and US

Covenant to open factories in US, Germany and Israel as it looks to disrupt market for long-range weapons

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

66%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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