Natural··Severity 7
‘The water comes up to our knees’: Climate hazards shut millions of children out of school in 2025
When the creek beside Taudibura Garo's school in Papua New Guinea floods, the water doesn't stop at the gate.
It rises through the pit toilets – making the school unsafe – sending the 16-year-old and her classmates home without being able to finish.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
34%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: UN News
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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