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Economic··Severity 7

Treasuries Weaken as Soaring Oil Prices Revive Rate Hike Worries

Treasuries fell as traders worried that rising oil prices will fan inflation and add to pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

40%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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