Geopolitical··Severity 9
US strikes on Iran’s vessels lead to escalation, threaten global security — Iranian MFA
Iran’s state-run broadcaster previously reported that US forces had delivered strikes on three Iranian civilian vessels in the Persian Gulf
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
72%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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