Geopolitical··Severity 8
Record strike of war: Ukraine's Special Operations Forces hit critical Russian plants 3,000 km away
Ukraine’s Special Operations Forces struck Russia’s Novy Urengoy and Purovsky gas condensate plants in Ukraine’s deepest strike of the war.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
66%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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