Natural··Severity 9
El Niño is strengthening: What could it mean for Africa?
El Niño is expected to become a very strong event later this year, with impacts likely to vary across Africa.
The Greater Horn of Africa is forecast to experience wetter-than-normal conditions, increasing the risk of flooding, while parts of Southern Africa face a higher risk of drought.
Governments and humanitarian agencies are stepping up preparedness and anticipatory action.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
52%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: CGTN World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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