Economic··Severity 7
IMF ditched top candidate for chief economist job over Trump tariff remarks
LSE professor Ricardo Reis had said the US president’s trade war would hurt American consumers
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
41%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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