Geopolitical··Severity 8
Middle East live: Trump warns Iran 'not to get cute' over activity at Pickaxe mountain
President Donald Trump said on Wednesday the United States may hit Iran's Pickaxe Mountain, warning them "not to get cute.
" He also commented that oil prices that have surged because of the Iran war likely won’t come down until after US midterm elections, as his advisors warned the conflict could extend through the remainder of his presidency.
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Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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