Economic··Severity 7
ECB prepares for ‘longer-lasting’ inflation as it lifts interest rates to 2.5%
Central bank’s president Christine Lagarde warns price shock driven by Middle East conflict will persist well into 2027
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
41%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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