Social··Severity 7
At least 20 killed in school fire in rebel-held DR Congo city
Victims from the fire in AFC/M23-held Bukavu include primary school students, say officials and media reports.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
38%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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