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Economic··Severity 7

Stock prices drop as oil spike fans fears of worsening inflation

As the US and Iran trade air strikes in the vital Strait of Hormuz and Yemen's Houthi rebels step up their campaign against Saudi Arabia, surging oil prices have seen stocks falling across Asia.

Investors appear to be holding their breath for the news that the Federal Reserve and other central banks will raise interest rates to tamp down the expected inflation.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

49%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: France24

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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