Geopolitical··Severity 8
Republican convention: Trump defends Iran war, attacks Democrats and promises voters cash
President Donald Trump, at Wednesday's Republican midterm convention, promised $5,000 to every American adult if Republicans retain control of Congress in November, while defending US war in Iran and antagonising Democrats.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Euronews
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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