Economic··Severity 7
European Central Bank raises interest rates with hawkish guidance
Widely expected move comes with slightly stronger growth and inflation forecasts despite a higher market-implied rate path
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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