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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Ukraine almost ran out of F-16 missiles — Zelensky’s former spokeswoman

Yulia Mendel added that Patriot batteries are also critically short of PAC-3 interceptors needed to stop ballistic missiles

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

60%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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