Geopolitical··Severity 8
Trump says Iran nuclear deal was among the worst ones in history
The conflict with Iran would end shortly after the midterm elections, the US president said separately
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
56%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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