Geopolitical··Severity 8
Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels seize strategic Red Sea port city of Mocha
Yemen’s Houthis seized the strategic Red Sea port city of Mocha on Thursday as their offensive against Saudi-backed government forces intensified.
Saudi Arabia launched dozens of airstrikes over the past 24 hours, the Houthis said, after the Iran-backed group carried out attacks on Saudi territory that wounded dozens of people.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
71%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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