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Economic··Severity 7

US Producer Prices Rise Most in Three Months on Energy Surge

A measure of producer price inflation showed renewed pressure from rising energy prices last month, potentially adding to the case for an interest-rate hike at the Federal Reserve’s meeting next week.

The producer price index rose 0.4% in August from the prior month — the most since May — and 5.4% from a year earlier, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data out Thursday.

Excluding food and energy, the gauge advanced 0.2% last month and 4.6% from a year ago.

Thursday’s figures come a day ahead of the latest update to the consumer price index, which is expected to show so-called core inflation was relatively modest even as rising gasoline prices boosted the headline measure.

Some Fed officials have signaled the interest-rate decision at their Sept. 15-16 meeting may come down to what this week’s reports reveal.

We get reaction from Anna Wong, Chief US Economist for Bloomberg Economics. (Source: Bloomberg)

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

39%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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