Geopolitical··Severity 9
Iran war: Saudi-Houthi escalation intensifies Yemen conflict
The Houthi takeovers of Mokha, Dhubab and Perim in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait threaten to push Yemen deeper into the Middle East war. The Iran-backed group has made advances against Yemen's government and Saudi Arabia.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
76%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: DW World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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