Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran war live: IRGC attacks US unmanned vessel in Hormuz; two ships hit
IRGC says it attacked a US unmanned vessel in Hormuz, while UKMTO says projectiles hit two ships off Oman.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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