Military··Severity 9
Putin threatens Europe with war if European troops are deployed to Ukraine
Russian leader Vladimir Putin warns that deploying European military contingents to Ukraine would amount to war with Russia, while claiming Moscow has no plans to threaten European countries.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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