Military··Severity 8
UK names Russian military personnel losses since beginning of full-scale invasion
British intelligence says 500,000 Russian soldiers have been killed since 2022, with most deaths occurring after January 2023.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
74%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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