← Scenarios catalogue
Military··Severity 8

Lithuania to cease existing should military conflict begin — Medvedev

The Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council said that "no other countries will fight for them"

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

67%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

Checking access status…