Natural··Severity 7
Israel says it has destroyed major underground Hezbollah base
The powerful blast registered as the equivalent of a magnitude 4.1 earthquake, according to the US Geological Survey.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
31%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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